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Documentation Index

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Alpha Leak uses a phase-gated multi-strategy approach where different strategies unlock as the portfolio balance grows. Lower phases prioritise capital preservation with conservative targets and tight hold windows; higher phases layer in higher-conviction, higher-multiple strategies as the base capital proves itself.

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Phase gating

The trader’s current phase is determined solely by available balance:
PhaseBalance thresholdMax concurrent positions
10.2 SOL+1
21.0 SOL+2
310.0 SOL+5
Phase gating serves two purposes. First, it prevents over-leveraging at small balances where a single losing streak could wipe the account. Second, it concentrates the trader’s attention on the highest-quality signals when capital is limited, expanding into more strategies only once the base has been established.
Phase is evaluated dynamically on every signal. If the balance drops below a phase threshold mid-session, strategies from that phase and above are immediately ineligible.

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Standard strategies

Standard strategies are triggered by signal events — signals generated from tracked wallet buys on existing tokens. All standard strategies require an 80% ML score threshold.
StrategyPhaseML thresholdDead thresholdTake profitStop lossMax hold
reach_2x_1h1+80%—2×0.4×60 min
reach_3x_30m2+80%—3×0.4×30 min
reach_2x_10m3+80%—2×0.5×10 min
The foundational strategy available from the start of phase 1. It targets a 2× move within an hour with a 60% stop loss floor (0.4×). The longer hold window allows time for a token to develop momentum even if the initial entry was slightly early. This is the strategy that will execute the majority of trades at small balances.
Unlocked at phase 2 when there is enough capital to run two concurrent positions. It targets faster, larger moves — a 3× return within 30 minutes. The tighter hold window means positions recycle faster, keeping capital available for the next opportunity. The stop loss is identical to reach_2x_1h at 0.4×.
A scalping strategy available at phase 3. It uses a tighter stop loss (0.5× vs 0.4×) and exits after 10 minutes regardless of outcome. It is designed for high-velocity, high-confidence entries where speed of exit matters more than giving the trade room to breathe. Requires full ML confidence and a strong signal quality context to fire.

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Genesis strategies

Genesis strategies are triggered by genesis_signal events from the Genesis Watcher — signals generated from the first 60 seconds of a token’s life, before any tracked wallet has necessarily bought in.
StrategyPhaseScore thresholdDead thresholdTake profitStop lossMax hold
genesis_2x_5m1+90%30%2×0.55×5 min
genesis_3x_30m1+90%50%3×0.40×30 min
genesis_3x_1h1+90%50%3×0.40×60 min
genesis_5x_2h1+80%—5×0.35×2 hr

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Why genesis strategies require higher thresholds

Genesis strategies require a 90% score threshold (versus 80% for standard strategies) to compensate for the inherently noisier signal environment. There is less on-chain history to work with when scoring a token that is only 60 seconds old — the model has fewer data points and operates at the edge of its training distribution. The dead probability veto is also stricter on fast genesis strategies: genesis_2x_5m vetoes at 30%, and genesis_3x_30m and genesis_3x_1h veto at 50%. This filters out tokens that show early creation signals but also show high probability of dying before any move materialises.
The fastest genesis strategy: a 2× target within 5 minutes, with a tight 45% stop loss (0.55×) and the strictest dead probability veto (30%). It is designed for tokens with an exceptionally clean genesis signal that may move quickly and require a fast exit decision.
Both target a 3× move with a 60% stop loss floor. The difference is hold window: 30 minutes versus 60 minutes. The 1-hour version gives more time for the thesis to develop at the cost of holding through more intermediate volatility.
The most ambitious genesis strategy: a 5× target within 2 hours with a 65% stop loss floor (0.35×). It accepts a lower score threshold (80%) because the 2-hour hold window gives substantially more time for the thesis to play out, reducing the signal quality required at entry to justify the risk.

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Position sizing

Position size is calculated as a percentage of available balance, clamped between a minimum and maximum, and further capped to preserve the circuit breaker’s minimum balance reserve: 
size = balance × position_pct
size = max(size, min_position)
size = min(size, max_position)
size = min(size, balance - min_balance_reserve)

if size < min_position: skip trade
Default sizing parameters:
ParameterDefault value
position_pct10% of available balance
min_position0.05 SOL
max_position2.0 SOL
min_balance_reserve0.08 SOL (circuit breaker floor)
At phase 1 with a 0.2 SOL balance, a typical position is 0.02 SOL — which falls below min_position, so the trade is skipped until the balance grows. At phase 3 with 15 SOL, a typical position is 1.5 SOL.
The minimum balance reserve is factored into sizing directly, which means positions naturally shrink as the balance approaches the floor rather than halting abruptly at the threshold.

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Per-token cooldown

After closing any position — win or loss — the token is placed in a 30-minute cooldown. The trader will not re-enter the same token within this window. This prevents re-entry on tokens that have already pumped and dumped, where the signal system might still be emitting buy signals from wallets who are now stuck in the token and effectively holding a loss.

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Signal source priority

When a signal arrives, the trader checks all eligible strategies in priority order:
  1. If the signal type is genesis_signal, genesis strategies are evaluated first.
  2. Among multiple eligible strategies, the one with the highest priority value in the strategy configuration is selected.
  3. Only one position is opened per signal event — the first eligible strategy wins.
This prevents the trader from attempting to open multiple positions on the same token from the same signal event, and ensures that when capital is limited, it flows to the highest-priority eligible strategy.

Circuit breakers

How drawdown, consecutive losses, and minimum balance halt trading.

Genesis Watcher

How genesis signals are generated in the first 60 seconds of a token’s life.

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